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The rising marriage mortality gap among Whites
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Although the decline in marriage has been cited as a possible contributor to the “despair” afflicting marginalized White communities, these studies have not directly considered mortality by marital status. This paper uses complete death certificate data from the Mortality Multiple Cause Files with American Community Survey data to examine age-specific mortality rates for married and non-married people from 2007 to 2017. The overall rise in White mortality is limited almost exclusively to those who are not married, for men and women. By comparison, mortality for Blacks and Hispanics has fallen or remained flat regardless of marital status (except for young, single Hispanic men). Analysis by education level shows death rates have risen most for Whites with the lowest education, but have also increased for those with high school or some college. Because mortality has risen faster for unmarried Whites at all but the lowest education levels, there has been an increase in the marriage mortality ratio. Mortality differentials are an increasingly important component of the social hierarchy associated with marital status.
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MPRC People
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Philip Cohen, Ph.D.
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Philip Cohen Publications
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Melissa Kearney featured in The New York Times on Early Childhood Intervention
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Children exposed to "Sesame Street" were more likely to be enrolled in the correct grade level for their age at middle and high school
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News
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Advanced School Progression Relative to Age and Early Family Formation in Mexico
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Mónica Caudillo Demography article re-examines education outcomes in light of advanced school progression by age
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Research
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Selected Research
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Michel Boudreaux's study on Men's Life Expectancy published in Demography
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Men's life expectancy has seen "remarkable increase" for several U.S. cities
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News
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Jessica Fish and Bradley Boekeloo win Data Contract to Study LGBTQ Health Disparities
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They are one of the four research groups chosen for the data contract
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News
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Liana Sayer Named Next Editor of Journal of Marriage and Family
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Tenure will begin with the February 2021 issue
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News
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The Coming Divorce Decline
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This article analyzes U.S. divorce trends over the past decade and considers their implications for future divorce rates. Modeling women’s odds of divorce from 2008 to 2017 using marital events data from the American Community Survey, I find falling divorce rates with or without adjustment for demographic covariates. Age-specific divorce rates show that the trend is driven by younger women, which is consistent with longer term trends showing uniquely high divorce rates among people born in the Baby Boom period. Finally, I analyze the characteristics of newly married women and estimate the trend in their likelihood of divorcing based on the divorce models. The results show falling divorce risks for more recent marriages. The accumulated evidence thus points toward continued decline in divorce rates. The United States is progressing toward a system in which marriage is rarer and more stable than it was in the past.
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MPRC People
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Philip Cohen, Ph.D.
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Philip Cohen Publications
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Philip Cohen comments on declining divorce rate in Michigan in Lansing State Journal
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Dropping divorce rate among women age under 45 in Michigan may indicate later but stabler marriage
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News
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Availability of Services Related to Achieving Pregnancy in U.S. Publicly Funded Family Planning Clinics
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Background Recognizing that quality family planning services should include services to help clients who want to become pregnant, the objective of our analysis was to examine the distribution of services related to achieving pregnancy at publicly funded family planning clinics in the United States. Methods A nationally representative sample of publicly funded clinics was surveyed in 2013–2014 (n = 1615). Clinic administrators were asked about several clinical services and screenings related to achieving pregnancy: basic infertility services, reproductive life plan assessment, screening for body mass index, screening for sexually transmitted diseases, provision of natural family planning services, infertility treatment, and primary care services. The percentage of clinics offering each of these services was compared by Title X funding status; prevalence ratios (PR) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) were estimated after adjusting for clinic characteristics. Results Compared to non-Title X clinics, Title X clinics were more likely to offer reproductive life plan assessment (adjusted PR [aPR], 1.62; 95% CI, 1.42–1.84), body mass index screening for men (aPR, 1.10; 95% CI, 1.01–1.21), screening for sexually transmitted diseases (aPRs ranged from 1.21 to 1.37), and preconception health care for men (aPR, 1.10; 95% CI, 1.01–1.20). Title X clinics were less likely to offer infertility treatment (aPR, 0.55; 95% CI, 0.40–0.74) and primary care services (aPR, 0.74; 95% CI, 0.68–0.80) and were just as likely to offer basic infertility services, preconception health care services for women, natural family planning, and body mass index screening in women. Conclusions The availability of selected services related to achieving pregnancy differed by Title X status. A follow-up assessment after publication of national family planning recommendations is underway.
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MPRC People
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Marie Thoma, Ph.D.
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Marie Thoma Publications
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Implications of Unstable Trends in Marriage, Birth, and Divorce
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Using birth, marriage, and divorce data from the U.S. Census, this study examines the stability in trends between 1920 and 2008. Our investigation substantiates the reactive nature of family trends to any intervention or change in its environment. We find that changes in family trends, which might have been initiated by changes in policies or other interventions, are permanent and do not fade away by reversing policies or interventions. Hence, family and consumer scientists, policymakers, and practitioners must explicitly allow for unstable trends when researching or targeting the dynamics of birth, marriage, and divorce, and prescribing interventions that they view as stabilizers of family dynamics.
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MPRC People
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Manouchehr (Mitch) Mokhtari, Ph.D.
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Mitch Mokhtari Publications