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Cohen sees 'symbolic effect' of same-sex unions on marriage
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Pundits ponder future of marriage as an institution
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Gender&Family Brownbag: Recession and Divorce in the United States: Economic Conditions and the Odds of Divorce, 2007-2009
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Faculty Associate Philip Cohen speaks
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Coming Up
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Seminar Series: Parental Age and Cognitive Disability Among Children in the United States
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Philip N. Cohen, Professor, Department of Sociology, University of Maryland
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Coming Up
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Philip Cohen comments on the rising co-living arrangements
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Sharing households seems to be the solution facing rising housing costs in Miami
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Philip Cohen comments on declining divorce rate in Michigan in Lansing State Journal
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Dropping divorce rate among women age under 45 in Michigan may indicate later but stabler marriage
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Cohen comments on the steep decline in life expectancy in the United States
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COVID-19 and unintentional injury deaths are cited as major contributors of this shift
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The Coming Divorce Decline
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This article analyzes U.S. divorce trends over the past decade and considers their implications for future divorce rates. Modeling women’s odds of divorce from 2008 to 2017 using marital events data from the American Community Survey, I find falling divorce rates with or without adjustment for demographic covariates. Age-specific divorce rates show that the trend is driven by younger women, which is consistent with longer term trends showing uniquely high divorce rates among people born in the Baby Boom period. Finally, I analyze the characteristics of newly married women and estimate the trend in their likelihood of divorcing based on the divorce models. The results show falling divorce risks for more recent marriages. The accumulated evidence thus points toward continued decline in divorce rates. The United States is progressing toward a system in which marriage is rarer and more stable than it was in the past.
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MPRC People
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Philip Cohen, Ph.D.
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Philip Cohen Publications
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The rising marriage mortality gap among Whites
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Although the decline in marriage has been cited as a possible contributor to the “despair” afflicting marginalized White communities, these studies have not directly considered mortality by marital status. This paper uses complete death certificate data from the Mortality Multiple Cause Files with American Community Survey data to examine age-specific mortality rates for married and non-married people from 2007 to 2017. The overall rise in White mortality is limited almost exclusively to those who are not married, for men and women. By comparison, mortality for Blacks and Hispanics has fallen or remained flat regardless of marital status (except for young, single Hispanic men). Analysis by education level shows death rates have risen most for Whites with the lowest education, but have also increased for those with high school or some college. Because mortality has risen faster for unmarried Whites at all but the lowest education levels, there has been an increase in the marriage mortality ratio. Mortality differentials are an increasingly important component of the social hierarchy associated with marital status.
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MPRC People
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Philip Cohen, Ph.D.
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Philip Cohen Publications
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Philip Cohen comments on Americans' dropping divorce rate on NPR
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Divorce has become more acceptable, less stigmatized, but also less common
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Philip Cohen comments on birth rate anxiety
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Less Sex, Fewer Babies, Blame - no, wait . . .
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