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John Haltiwanger featured in The Wall Street Journal on Job Loss during COVID-19
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When fewer firms open, it can weigh heavily on the job market.
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News
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Maureen Cropper talks about Clean Air Act on Resources for the Future
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Cropper discusses a recent working paper that assesses the full benefits and costs of the groundbreaking law’s many programs to protect the environment.
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News
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Katharine Abraham comments on Misleading Economic Data during COVID-19 on The New York Times
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The tools we have to understand what is happening to the economy are becoming distorted or harder to interpret.
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John Haltiwanger featured in Barron's on New Economic Indicators during COVID-19 Pandemic
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Two new indicators designed to gauge economic activity on a real-time basis show that the U.S. has already experienced an economic crisis sharper than the 2008 recession and continues to deteriorate.
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Melissa Kearney's research illuminates COVID recovery potential
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We must deliberately spend and invest in ways that will strengthen our capitalist economy and expand economic security, she writes
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Katharine Abraham featured in Bloomberg on Job Saving after the COVID-19 Hit
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States' short-time compensation, or shared-work programs, are effective in helping retain trained staff members during COVID-19 outbreak
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Katharine Abraham featured in The New York Times on Unemployment due to COVID-19 Outbreak
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Economists expect as many as a record 20 million job losses and an unemployment rate of around 15% in the April job report
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How Ending a Conditional Cash Transfer Program Impacts Children’s School Enrollment: Evidence from Mexico
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Susan W. Parker, Public Policy
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Resources
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Seed Grant Program
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Seed Grants Awarded
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Melissa Kearney analyzes COVID-19 Social Insurance on EconoFact
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Cash payments provide a financial lifeline through this time of income loss. Workers in the hardest-hit industries have low earnings and few savings.
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News
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Voting for Democracy: Chile's Plebiscito and the Electoral Participation of a Generation
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This paper assesses if voting for democracy affects long-term electoral participation. We study the effects of participating in Chile's 1988 plebiscite, which determined whether democracy would be reinstated after a 15-year long military dictatorship. Taking advantage of individual-level voting data for upwards of 13 million Chileans, we implement an age-based RD design comparing long run registration and turnout rates across marginally eligible and ineligible individuals. We find that Plebiscite eligibility (participation) significantly increased electoral turnout three decades later, reaching 1.8 (3.3) percentage points in the 2017 Presidential election. These effects are robust to different specifications and distinctive to the 1988 referendum. We discuss potential mechanisms concluding that the scale of initial mobilization explains the estimated effects. We find that plebiscite eligibility induced a sizable share of less educated voters to register to vote compared to eligibles in other upstream elections. Since less educated voters tended to support Chile's governing left-wing coalition, we argue that the plebiscite contributed to the emergence of one party rule the twenty years following democratization.
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MPRC People
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Sergio Urzua, Ph.D.
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Sergio Urzua Publications