Onset and Pace of Kenya’s Fertility Transition

The seed grant facilitated research on the fertility transition in Africa. The study pioneered a refined approach to quantifying the effect of demographic pressure on the onset of fertility transition. The proposal argued for a tighter relationship between mortality decline and the onset of fertility transition than previous cross-national analyses had suggested. Because completed family size is much more likely to be higher than desired if fertility has increased along with mortality decline, the effect of mortality decline is likely misestimated where fertility increase is not controlled. The study also examined men's influence on the Onset and Progress of Fertility Transition in Africa.