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Econ Seminar: Tim Bartik, Upjohn Institute
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How Place-Based Jobs Policies Help Distressed Communities
Located in
Coming Up
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Economics seminar - Macro: Niklas Engbom, Princeton University
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"Firm and Worker Dynamics in an Aging Labor Market"
Located in
Coming Up
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Economics Seminar : Nicholas Bloom, Stanford University
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Why Working From Home Will Stick
Located in
Coming Up
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Economics Seminar Series: Owen Thomson, University of Wisconsin-Milwaukee
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The Long-Term Health Impacts of Medicaid and CHIP
Located in
Coming Up
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Economics Seminar: The Effect of Insurance on Emergency Room Visits: An Analysis of the 2006 Massachusetts Health Reform
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Sarah Miller, University of Michigan
Located in
Coming Up
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Education, Birth Order, and Family Size
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Sergio Urzua, University of Maryland, et al.; 2013-016
Located in
Research
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Working Papers
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WP Documents
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Enlisting Workers in Monitoring Firms: Payroll Tax Compliance in Mexico
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Eric Verhoongen, Columbia University
Located in
Coming Up
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Exploring the culture of despair
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Faculty Associate Melissa Kearney and Philip B. Levine find that inequality trumps location in predicting early childbearing out of wedlock
Located in
Research
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Selected Research
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Factor Models and Time-Varying Parameter Framework for Forecasting Exchange Rates and Inflation: A Survey
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A survey of models used for forecasting exchange rates and inflation reveals that the factor‐based and time‐varying parameter or state space models generate superior forecasts relative to all other models. This survey also finds that models based on Taylor rule and portfolio balance theory have moderate predictive power for forecasting exchange rates. The evidence on the use of Bayesian Model Averaging approach in forecasting exchange rates reveals limited predictive power, but strong support for forecasting inflation. Overall, the evidence overwhelmingly points to the context of the forecasts, relevance of the historical data, data transformation, choice of the benchmark, selected time horizons, sample period and forecast evaluation methods as the crucial elements in selecting forecasting models for exchange rate and inflation.
Located in
MPRC People
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Manouchehr (Mitch) Mokhtari, Ph.D.
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Mitch Mokhtari Publications
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Finding Economic Solutions for America
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Faculty associate Katharine Abraham brings home experience from two years serving on the White House Council of Economic Advisors
Located in
Research
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Selected Research
